In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. . Texas has been in a dire situation this week. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. The data behind that evolution is striking. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." heritage commons university of utah. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. So, the usual. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. No place like 'Nam. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). This is the final episode. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. Transcripts by Erin Wade. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. Local news is disappearing across the country. Instagram did not return a 200. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Thanks! Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." What does the bench of Democratic leadership look like beyond Biden? The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. gold rush supreme second chance winners. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. r/fivethirtyeight. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups.